The chance for C9 to qualify through the Rumble stage

Look, I’m not going to lie. There’s not much chance of C9 qualifying. RNG, DK and PSG Talon are pretty much locked in at over 95%.

But there is a *chance*

We should say that this is assuming every team is equal – this is purely mathematical and it’s “in how many scenarios do these teams qualify” rather than “how likely will C9 beat RNG and MAD Lions”.

EU fans will cling on to the >80% chance of MAD Lions qualifying, while NA has just a 5.9% chance of qualifying. Though of course, a lot of that requires them to beat RNG, and MAD losing a few games.


Elliott Griffiths covers a variety of esports from his home base in the United Kingdom. His greatest emphasis is on competitive Counter-Strike, but he has also covered all aspects of League of Legends esports across the game's various international regions.