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After a week of intense action, PGL Wallachia is reaching its final phase, with just three teams remaining from a field of 16, Team Spirit, Team Liquid, and MOUZ. Come with us as we preview and predict the grand finals of this tournament in one of the last Dota 2 tournaments of 2025.
Lower Bracket Finals
| Match | Team Liquid vs. MOUZ Esports |
|---|---|
| Start Time | Nov. 23, at 4 am EST/ 10 am CET |
| Top Pick | Team Liquid to win 2-1 |
| Betting Favorite | Team Liquid |
Grand Finals
| Match | Team Spirit vs. TBD |
|---|---|
| Start Time | Nov. 23, at 7 am EST/ 1 pm CET |
| Top Pick | Team Spirit to win 3-1 |
| Betting Favorite | Team Spirit |
We’ve seen some surprising performances at PGL Wallachia Season 6, from a resurgence in SEA thanks to OG, to MOUZ‘s run with a stand-in. But what hasn’t changed is the quality of the overall Dota 2 ecosystem. That is to say, there’s a lot of very good teams, and tournaments are often hard to call until the games start. But in a tournament without Team Falcons – the favorite almost every time they’re involved, things have been even more hard to predict.
Team Liquid and Team Spirit have adapted quickly to roster changes which fundamentally changed the way their line-up and playstyle worked. Meanwhile, MOUZ’s recently formed roster, complete with a stand-in, has performed far beyond expectations. Still, it’s Team Spirit that seem like the best team in the tournament. They’ve dropped just four games the entire tournament, and we’d expect them to continue their winning ways.
Image Credit: PGL
Team Spirit went undefeated in the group stage, and continued their winning ways in the Upper Bracket of the playoffs, locking in their finals spot after defeating Team Liquid 2-1 in the Upper Bracket Finals on Nov. 22. With the prospect of a rematch with TL on Sunday, the Spirit looks poised for yet another trophy lift to add to their prodigious collection.
While we’re looking at a team whose changed up both of its Support players since its last TI victory, Team Spirit really hasn’t lost a beat. That’s partially because of the dominant performances of Magomed “Collapse” Khalilov and Illya “Yatoro” Mulyarchuk, but also because it’s managed to find players that match their calibre. Denis “Larl” Sigitov is also a bright star for the team, as Spirit is anchored by his consistent play in the middle lane.
The big feather in Spirit’s cap when it comes to these finals is that there’s arguable few good matchups for their opponents. Yatoro has shown he has Liquid’s number, and he’s simply just a better player than much of MOUZ’s roster. This is a case of opponents needing to rise to Team Spirit’s level, and with them performing so well, it’s hard to see that happening.
Image Credit: PGL
This Team Liquid roster struggled after the addition of Erik “tOfu” Engel and Marcus “Ace” Christensen, because it transformed the style of the team. While Liquid adjusted to their new players, they struggled at events like BLAST Slam IV where they came a hugely poor 9th-10th. Now they’re seemingly back in form, right in time for a tournament that Liquid traditionally performs very well at.
But the edges are still rough on this line-up. tOfu and Michael “miCKe” Vu still don’t quite have the synergy we’d come to know from when Aydin “Insania” Sarkohi was in the line-up. The same goes for Samuel “Boxi” Svahn and Ace, but to a lesser degree, as Boxi’s decisive style and Ace’s propensity to farm till late has matched many of TL’s previous offlaners. While Michał “Nisha” Jankowski is arguably one of the best players in the world on a good day, it’s hard to live up to that standard when you’re always expected to carry.
Still, we expect Team Liquid to make it to the finals for a rematch with Spirit. However, once there, we’d find it difficult to imagine they’ll take home the gold.
Image Credit: PGL
MOUZ are definitely the underdogs come Nov. 23. The German org has struck gold with its roster, but they’re still a way to go before they’re Tier 1 tournament champs in our opinion. Couple that with a pair of stand-ins (both Daniel “Ghost” Chan and Oleh “kaori” Medvedok have replaced an absent Melchior “Seleri” Hillenkamp), and it’s to imagine MOUZ lifting the trophy at the tournaments end.
But if you’re looking for your long-shot, high return pick, then MOUZ could surprise their opponents. Remco “Crystallis” Arets and Miroslav “BOOM” Bičan are playing at an extremely high level, and making MOUZ look like a serious contender. They have a tough pair of matchups coming up on Sunday, though, and they’ll have to beat teams they’ve not proven they can consistently defeat or out draft. We’re happy for MOUZ’ success but don’t expect them to win.
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Team Liquid to win | 1.52 |
| MOUZ to win | 2.35 |
| Over 2.5 maps | 1.92 |
| Under 2.5 Maps | 1.78 |
| MOUZ to win at least 1 map | 1.48 |
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Team Spirit | 1.35 |
| MOUZ | 3.1 |
| Over 3.5 Maps | 1.38 |
| Under 3.5 Maps | 2.8 |
In the Lower Bracket Final, we’d have to put our money on Team Liquid. The team is firing on all cylinders despite replacing two core members, and has adapted to the changed roster.
Featured Image Credit: PGL
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