Following Karmine Corp’s resounding loss to G2 Esports and Movistar KOI’s win against Natus Vincere, these two teams will meet in the final match of the Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier. The winner will represent the region at the Esports World Cup as the third seed.
If you are looking to bet on this League of Legends match-up, we have got you covered with everything you need to know about it.
Betting tip: KC looked terrible against G2, but that’s just G2 being ahead of everyone. Against MKOI, they have a stylistic advantage.
Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI prediction: Under 4.5 maps at 1.51 odds at Thunderpick.io
| Match | Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI – Esports World Cup 2026 Online EMEA Qualifier |
|---|---|
| Kick-off | May 17th, 2026, at 5pm CET / 8am PST |
| Top pick | Karmine Corp to win, under 4.5 games |
| Best price | Thunderpick.io |
| Betting favorite | Movistar KOI |
When these two teams meet, it tends to end poorly for MKOI. In series score, KC is up 5-2, with their two losses being from the split that KOI won in Spring 2025.
Most of their match-up boils down to who can get the explosive start. Both teams claw their way back through teamfights, but the one that gets the edge early naturally has a greater chance of keeping it. And that team is usually Karmine Corp.
KC has more tools in their pocket to claim the driver’s seat. The team can rely on Kim “Canna” Chang-dong, Martin “Yike” Sundelin, and Caliste “Caliste” Henry-Hennebert to pull ahead. As for MKOI, their best bet is Joseph “Jojopyun” Joon Pyun while Alex “Myrwn” Pastor Villarejo can join him if Canna’s in poor form.
MKOI has the bonus of surprise picks for Myrwn that can always throw a wrench in the opponents’ plans. Once the scout for top lane marksmen, there’s no telling what he’ll bring out next after Zeri and Shyvana.
KC, though, masters more options within the meta. Canna has a deadly Vayne, Yike isn’t afraid of picking Kha’Zix, and the Bard from Alan “Busio” Cwalina is legendary. Those aren’t surprise picks, but the level of mastery they have on it allows KC to be aggressive in ways other teams can’t find.
Busio and Yike also form a fearsome duo, one that already tipped the scales in their previous encounters. In comparison, Javier “Elyoya” Prades Batalla and Álvaro “Alvaro” Fernández del Amo struggle to stand their ground.
The main issue is that Alvaro is less proficient on enchanters, which make up most of the support meta. The team as a whole struggle when neither one plays an initiator.
MKOI lost the previous two matches against KC. Will the EWC qualifier be different? Image Source: Hara Amorós / Riot Games
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Karmine Corp to win | 1.93 |
| Movistar KOI to win | 1.81 |
| Over 4.5 maps | 2.45 |
| Under 4.5 maps | 1.51 |
LoL betting odds via Thunderpick.io, 10pm CET May 16, 2026
KC just won this match-up twice, in a way that shows that it was no fluke. With the odds being this close and even favoring their opponent, Karmine Corp is a great bet.
Best picks:
Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI prediction: KC as the match winner 3-1 at 1.93 odds via Thunderpick.io.
Featured image source: Hara Amorós / Riot Games
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