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Two quarterfinals down, two to go! Day 3 in the LoL Worlds knockout stage has G2 facing off against TES, and that’s a hard match to call. Here’s all that there’s to expect from this series.
| Match | G2 Esports vs Top Esports – LoL Worlds 2025 Quarterfinals |
|---|---|
| Kick-off | October 30, 2025, at 12 am EST / 8 am CET |
| Top pick | TES to win 3-1 |
| Betting favorite | TES |
This is the weirdest match to try to anticipate, because it solely depends on TES. G2’s level has been relatively consistent at Worlds – underwhelming compared to their regional strength, sufficient to make it to the LoL Worlds Knockout stage, but not impressive by any means. But they should be a known quantity at this point.
TES, on the other hand, has had a fantastic first two games, then suddenly became mediocre on their first Best of 3, and then went from bad to worse as the games went on. So what to expect for this match depends solely on which TES will show up.
Image Source: Yicun Liu / Riot Games
The last hope of Europe and of the West, G2 reached quarters for the first time since 2020, and rather comfortably so for once. But the level of domination they’ve had in the LEC has not translated internationally.
While the way they play the later game is good, their laning and their decisions around early objectives have made them start too many games on the back foot. They try to take monsters with a bad setup, or contest them when they shouldn’t and don’t need to. They also lost two games partly from the draft. Once, by being too greedy and neglecting early power. And the other time by giving Labrov and SkewMond champions that didn’t fit their style or skills.
G2 is fighting in these playoffs as a clear underdog.
Image Source: Yicun Liu / Riot Games
Looking at their current form, Top Esports is quite likely the worst team of the eight coming into the playoffs. They had an incredible first two matches, and then played worse and worse with each passing game. TES is on their 6th consecutive year of starting off great, then being awful as soon as the stakes are high.
They found success by having an LCK style of play. They take an objective area, black out vision, and win the position from there. But in rounds 3 to 5, their style of play was rather forgetting how to play League of Legends. Playmakers that can’t engage, JackeyLove dying for no reason as usual, fights poorly handled. Hang even bought the wrong components for his Rocketbelt on Neeko.
When rewatching their last games, it’s too hard to put any faith in TES. Again, G2 have shown their hand, we know what to expect. Peak TES would dismantle G2. In fact, peak TES dismantling G2 was what happened in the first round of the Swiss stage. But they’ve looked so lifeless in their Bo3 series.
G2 has shown their weaknesses. Their early game isn’t up to the task. That has been abused, and TES should be able to abuse that. But then again, TES has also very well demonstrated their ability to not put any effort into their early game. As well as their ability to not translate a lead into anything afterwards.
Their final game against BLG was a back and forth of advantages being handed over and gifted back. And I can’t overlook the fact that Hang, a professional support, bought a Kindlegem when trying to build Rocketbelt on Neeko. Rocketbelt’s recipe hasn’t used that component for a long time, and it’s been the core item on one of the main support picks for just about the entire season. This is unserious in a professional game – even if every other support rushes Redemption out of that component.
Image Source: Colin Young-Wolff / Riot Games
So I’m seeing G2 as winning it. If they don’t try to put Skewmond on junglers without agency again, I think that their style of play can push back well against that of TES, focused on objective control.
It does not feel right to put this G2 as favorites.
They do level up in the playoffs. They always do. In fact, they’ve yet to lose a Worlds quarterfinals – they’re 3-0 in these matches (having won in 2018, 2019, and 2020), and 5-1 in international quarterfinals in general. That includes years when they were weak (2017 MSI, 2018 Worlds), so there’s a systemic reason it’s like that and it isn’t just a product of chance and small samples.They just have something that activates, and they suddenly play better, both internationally and regionally.
But it doesn’t feel right seeing the level of play that they’ve shown at this Worlds. It’s just that TES’s was even worse in their last games.
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| G2 to win | 2.74 |
| TES to win | 1.39 |
| Over 4.5 maps | 2.58 |
| Under 4.5 maps | 1.43 |
LoL odds subject to change.
Once more, which team takes it entirely depends on TES’s form. Round 1 TES is far too strong for G2, while rounds 4-5 TES will just implode and lose again. But I think the latter is more likely to show up once more. I particularly wouldn’t bet on TES though, because whatever their chances of winning are, they’re much lower than what the betting market gives them. In either case, there’s virtually no chance that the match makes it to 5 games. Go to our LoL Worlds hub for more coverage.
Featured Image Source: Colin Young-Wolff/Riot Games
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