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Esports Betting Tips

Furia vs Pain Gaming: BLAST Austin Major CS2 betting odds, tips

fallen counter-strike 2

The BLAST Austin Major’s two surviving Brazilian teams are set for a quarterfinals matchup, but should you bet on Pain Gaming or Furia?

Match BLAST Austin Major playoffs
Kick-off June 19, 2025 at 3 pm ET
Top pick Furia wins 2-1
Best price GG.BET live odds
Betting favorite Furia

Brazilian Counter-Strike has put on a good show in Austin. Six teams entered the event and four of them have had legitimate success. Only two of them actually managed to make the playoffs, though. The good news for Brazilian fans is that one of them is guaranteed to place top four in the tournament, but which team will it be?

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Furia vs Pain Gaming match overview

  • Tournament: BLAST Austin Major
  • Stage: Playoffs quarterfinals
  • Game: Counter-Strike 2
  • Format: Best-of-three

Betting tip: Roll with Furia, but you might need to get creative to bring home a good profit from this one.

My Furia vs Pain Gaming pick: Furia wins 2-1 (3.25 at gg.bet)

Furia vs Pain Gaming in-depth team, match analysis

Desk analyst discourse and former player analysis about stepping up at majors and the pressure of big events is often just a way of rationalizing surprise outcomes for big events. That’s not the case here, though.

Furia has been a generally solid team throughout most of 2025, albeit not one that has gotten particularly good results. The team’s roster has really clicked in the BLAST Austin Major, though. Yuri “yuurih” Boian, Kaike “KSCERATO” Cerato, and Mareks “YEKINDAR” Gaļinskis are all posting markedly better numbers in the tournament.

Video: WINNER TO PLAYOFFS! FURIA vs Virtus.pro - Official Highlights - BLAST Austin Major 2025 Stage 3

WINNER TO PLAYOFFS! FURIA vs Virtus.pro – Official Highlights – BLAST Austin Major 2025 Stage 3

YEKINDAR in particular has been key to their success. While he’s normally known for being a sharp entry fragger, he’s operating at a higher level than at almost any other point in his career. Despite technically being a stand-in for Furia, his performance in the BLAST Austin Major stands as one of the best single tournaments of his eight-year career to this point.

Pain Gaming is much the same. The team has gotten a strong performance out of stand-in Franco “dgt” Garcia, and has seen Lucas “nqz” Soares put in a very strong showing.

Both teams have stepped up their games in the tournament. Furia, though, has stepped it up more and that should translate to a win.

Rosters and roles

Furia Pain Gaming
yuurih Biguzera (IGL)
KSCERATO nqz
FalleN snow
molodoy dav1deus
YEKINDAR dgt

Map pool

  • Furia has had a middling performance in 2025 to this point, despite this great major showing. The only maps where the team has a particularly good record this year are Train and Dust 2. The team is close to even across Anubis, Nuke, and Inferno, while it struggles on Mirage.
  • Pain Gaming has an ugly win-loss record on maps in 2025. The only maps where it has a win rate above 50% are Nuke and Mirage, where it’s 12-6 and 10-8, respectively. The team is struggling mightily on Inferno, where it has a 5-16 record. It looks to be similarly shaky on Anubis and Train, where the team is 2-6 and 0-6.
  • Furia’s permaban is Ancient and while Pain Gaming did the same through most of 2025, it did let the map go through in a losing effort against Nemiga Gaming during Stage 3.

Key stats

Metric Furia Pain Gaming Edge
Pistol round win% 52.8% 51.6% Furia
Top-rated player KSCERATO (1.15) nqz (1.07) Furia
Map win-loss 45-45 40-54 Furia

Stats include all matches played by both teams in 2025.

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Furia vs Pain Gaming head-to-head record

Despite technically being regional rivals, Furia and Pain have only faced off twice since the rollout of Counter-Strike 2. Furia won a 2-1 against Pain in the Shanghai Major, while Pain took a best-of-one win over Furia in Stage 2 of the Austin Major.

Furia and Pain Gaming recent match history

Furia started in Stage 2 of the Austin Major, going 3-1. It then skated through Stage 3 with a 3-0 record:

  • Virtus.pro: 2-0 win
  • Aurora Gaming: 1-0 win
  • The MongolZ: 1-0 win
  • B8: 2-1 win
  • M80: 1-0 win

Pain started in Stage 2 alongside furia, but faced a tougher road, going 3-1 in Stage 2 and then 3-2 in Stage 3.

  • Virtus.pro: 2-1 win
  • 3DMAX: 2-0 win
  • Nemiga Gaming: 2-1 win
  • G2 Esports: 1-0 loss
  • Team Spirit: 1-0 loss

Furia vs Pain Gaming betting odds snapshot

Market Odds
Furia to win 1.50
Pain Gaming to win 2.51
Over 2.5 maps 2.00

Lines pulled from gg.bet at 1:58 pm MT on June 16, 2025.

Video: WINNER TO PLAYOFFS! Virtus.pro vs paiN - Official Highlights - BLAST Austin Major 2025 Stage 3

WINNER TO PLAYOFFS! Virtus.pro vs paiN – Official Highlights – BLAST Austin Major 2025 Stage 3

Furia vs Pain Gaming betting picks and predictions

The GG.BET live odds regarding this match are quite fair. Furia is being shown respect as the favorite, though Pain Gaming isn’t being brushed off. To get maximum value out of your picks, it’s worth avoiding straight moneyline bets.

Best picks

  • Furia wins 2-1 @ 3.25 – Furia often plays to its opponent’s level, which translates to 2-0 wins against the likes of fringe top-10 teams like Virtus.pro and 2-1 wins against fringe top-25 teams like MIBR and M80. Pain Gaming falls into the latter category, despite actually beating VP in Stage 3.
  • YEKINDAR over 17.5 kills on map 1 @ 3.17 – There have been a few games in the BLAST Austin Major where YEKINDAR just frags out for Furia. He’s gotten 18 or more kills in five of their 10 games, so this 3.17 line is a strong value.
  • Over 2.5 total maps @ 2.00 – Furia’s best-of-three wins have almost always come via 2-1 scores and Pain Gaming pitching a shutout is unlikely. There’s a very good chance this one goes three.

Prediction

Our pick: Furia wins 2-1 @ 3.25  at gg.bet

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